Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That BPL (NSE:BPL) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:BPL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, BPL Limited (NSE:BPL) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does BPL Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 BPL had debt of ₹2.10b, up from ₹1.96b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹93.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹2.00b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BPL Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024

A Look At BPL's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BPL had liabilities of ₹2.11b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹216.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹93.0m as well as receivables valued at ₹287.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.94b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since BPL has a market capitalization of ₹6.27b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Strangely BPL has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 14.2, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 15.1. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Pleasingly, BPL is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 131% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since BPL will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last two years, BPL actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

BPL's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about BPL's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with BPL (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.