Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for BSE:514175 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
BSE:514175 DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Vardhman Polytex's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Vardhman Polytex's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Vardhman Polytex's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Vardhman Polytex has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Luxury industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Vardhman Polytex's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Vardhman Polytex's earnings growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Vardhman Polytex's revenue growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Vardhman Polytex is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Vardhman Polytex is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Vardhman Polytex's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Vardhman Polytex's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Vardhman Polytex's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Vardhman Polytex's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Vardhman Polytex's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Vardhman Polytex has negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets) therefore debt is not covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Adish Oswal, B.Com, has been Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Operating Officer at Vardhman Polytex Limited since December 26, 2018. He serves as Managing Director of Oswal Retail Pvt. Ltd. Mr. Oswal served as a Managing Director of Business & Corporate Affairs at Vardhman Polytex Ltd. until December 2018 and serves as an Executive Director since July 31, 2009. He is actively participating into administrative and day-to-day functioning of Vardhman Polytex and involved into the Strategic Decision making and key management decisions for the future growth. Mr. Oswal has been Executive Director of Vardhman Polytex Ltd since July 31, 2009. He serves as a Director of Oswal P.M. Hammerle Textiles Ltd., Oswal Retail (P) Ltd., Oswal Holding (P) Ltd., Oswal Infratech (P) Ltd., and Allepy Investment & Trading Co. (P).
Adish's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Adish's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in India.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Vardhman Polytex management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
Vice President of Technical
Executive Vice President
Chief Production Officer
Chief Financial Officer
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer
Head of Corporate Human Resources
Chief General Manager
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Vardhman Polytex board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.
Vardhman Polytex Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells yarns and garments in India and internationally. The company provides yarns, including grey cotton yarns, polyester cotton yarns, compact yarns, organic cotton yarns, BCI cotton yarns and blends, dyed yarns, SUPIMA cotton yarns, modal and cotton/modal blends, bamboo and cotton/bamboo blends, slub/multicount yarns, and lycra/spandex blended core spun yarns. It also offers fabrics, including yarn dyed shirting fabrics; various fabric constructions; and fabrics with mechanical and chemical finishes. In addition, the company provides garments, such as polo and round neck T-shirts, hoodies, sweatshirts, etc. for men, women, and kids. Further, the company develops real estate projects. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Ludhiana, India.
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.