Stock Analysis

SORIL Infra Resources Limited's (NSE:SORILINFRA) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NSEI:SORILINFRA
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SORIL Infra Resources Limited's (NSE:SORILINFRA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that SORIL Infra Resources' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for SORIL Infra Resources

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NSEI:SORILINFRA Price Based on Past Earnings July 29th 2020
Although there are no analyst estimates available for SORIL Infra Resources, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like SORIL Infra Resources' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 82% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to decline by 4.1% over the next year, or less than the company's recent medium-term annualised earnings decline.

With this information, it's strange that SORIL Infra Resources is trading at a higher P/E in comparison. With earnings going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/E has found a floor yet. Maintaining these prices will be extremely difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From SORIL Infra Resources' P/E?

The price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that SORIL Infra Resources currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year earnings are even worse than the forecasts for a struggling market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. In addition, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough market conditions. Unless the company's relative performance improves markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for SORIL Infra Resources (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than SORIL Infra Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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