Stock Analysis

eClerx Services Limited (NSE:ECLERX) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

NSEI:ECLERX
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Investors in eClerx Services Limited (NSE:ECLERX) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.0% to close at ₹2,687 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues of ₹7.5b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at ₹28.22, missing estimates by 3.2%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for eClerx Services

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NSEI:ECLERX Earnings and Revenue Growth February 4th 2024

After the latest results, the six analysts covering eClerx Services are now predicting revenues of ₹32.5b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 15% to ₹122. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹32.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹125 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at ₹2,564. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on eClerx Services, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹3,080 and the most bearish at ₹2,260 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that eClerx Services' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. Compare this to the 61 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like eClerx Services is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹2,564, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for eClerx Services going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.