Stock Analysis

Is Antony Waste Handling Cell (NSE:AWHCL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:AWHCL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Antony Waste Handling Cell Limited (NSE:AWHCL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Antony Waste Handling Cell Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Antony Waste Handling Cell had ₹4.02b of debt, up from ₹2.93b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹754.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.26b.

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NSEI:AWHCL Debt to Equity History March 14th 2024

How Healthy Is Antony Waste Handling Cell's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Antony Waste Handling Cell had liabilities of ₹2.99b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹4.01b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹754.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹2.10b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.15b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Antony Waste Handling Cell has a market capitalization of ₹12.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Antony Waste Handling Cell's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.9 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 11.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Antony Waste Handling Cell grew its EBIT by 7.6% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Antony Waste Handling Cell's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Antony Waste Handling Cell saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Antony Waste Handling Cell's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its interest cover was refreshing. We think that Antony Waste Handling Cell's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Antony Waste Handling Cell , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.