Statutory Earnings May Not Be The Best Way To Understand Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing's (NSE:UNIMECH) True Position
Even though Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing Limited (NSE:UNIMECH) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We decided to have a deeper look, and we believe that investors might be worried about several concerning factors that we found.
Zooming In On Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing has an accrual ratio of 0.57 for the year to September 2025. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹505m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹795.7m. We also note that Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹505m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Check out our latest analysis for Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing benefitted from unusual items worth ₹75m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
Our Take On Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing's Profit Performance
Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing and you'll want to know about it.
Our examination of Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Unimech Aerospace and Manufacturing might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.