Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (NSE:TRIL) With Shares Advancing 27%

NSEI:TARIL
Source: Shutterstock

Despite an already strong run, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (NSE:TRIL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 447% gain over the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in India's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, you may consider Transformers and Rectifiers (India) as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Transformers and Rectifiers (India)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TRIL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 17th 2024

How Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Has Been Performing

For instance, Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Transformers and Rectifiers (India) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.2% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 94% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 32% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Transformers and Rectifiers (India) is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Transformers and Rectifiers (India) currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Transformers and Rectifiers (India) (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Transformers and Rectifiers (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.