Transwind Infrastructures Limited's (NSE:TRANSWIND) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Transwind Infrastructures Limited (NSE:TRANSWIND) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 158% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Transwind Infrastructures' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 33x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

The earnings growth achieved at Transwind Infrastructures over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this respectable earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Transwind Infrastructures

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Transwind Infrastructures, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Transwind Infrastructures would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.8% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Transwind Infrastructures is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Transwind Infrastructures appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Transwind Infrastructures revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Transwind Infrastructures (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Transwind Infrastructures, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.