What You Can Learn From Titagarh Rail Systems Limited's (NSE:TITAGARH) P/E After Its 26% Share Price Crash
The Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (NSE:TITAGARH) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 16% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, Titagarh Rail Systems may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.2x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 26x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Titagarh Rail Systems could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Titagarh Rail Systems
How Is Titagarh Rail Systems' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Titagarh Rail Systems would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 4.9% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 921% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 60% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 26%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Titagarh Rail Systems' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Titagarh Rail Systems' P/E
There's still some solid strength behind Titagarh Rail Systems' P/E, if not its share price lately. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Titagarh Rail Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Titagarh Rail Systems with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Titagarh Rail Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TITAGARH
Titagarh Rail Systems
Engages in the manufacture and sale of freight and passenger rail systems in India and internationally.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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