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Slammed 25% Teerth Gopicon Limited (NSE:TGL) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Teerth Gopicon Limited (NSE:TGL) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 90% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, Teerth Gopicon's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
For example, consider that Teerth Gopicon's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Teerth Gopicon
How Is Teerth Gopicon's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Teerth Gopicon's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 5,506% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Teerth Gopicon's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Teerth Gopicon have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Teerth Gopicon revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Teerth Gopicon (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Teerth Gopicon's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Teerth Gopicon might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TGL
Teerth Gopicon
Provides engineering construction and development services in India.
Excellent balance sheet with low risk.
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