Stock Analysis

Spectrum Electrical Industries Limited's (NSE:SPECTRUM) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

NSEI:SPECTRUM
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Spectrum Electrical Industries Limited's (NSE:SPECTRUM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Electrical industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 3.8x and even P/S below 1.6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Spectrum Electrical Industries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SPECTRUM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 23rd 2024

What Does Spectrum Electrical Industries' Recent Performance Look Like?

Spectrum Electrical Industries has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Spectrum Electrical Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Spectrum Electrical Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 117% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Spectrum Electrical Industries' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Spectrum Electrical Industries' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Spectrum Electrical Industries revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Spectrum Electrical Industries has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.