Getting In Cheap On Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (NSE:MAZDOCK) Is Unlikely

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.6x Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (NSE:MAZDOCK) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 25x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders

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Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.2%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 187% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.