Stock Analysis

We Think Marshall Machines (NSE:MARSHALL) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NSEI:MARSHALL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Marshall Machines Limited (NSE:MARSHALL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Marshall Machines

What Is Marshall Machines's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Marshall Machines had debt of ₹452.5m, up from ₹389.7m in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MARSHALL Debt to Equity History June 8th 2023

A Look At Marshall Machines' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Marshall Machines had liabilities of ₹803.1m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹214.5m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹3.08m and ₹284.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹730.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹918.8m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Marshall Machines' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Marshall Machines's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Marshall Machines made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹370m, which is a fall of 39%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Marshall Machines's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost ₹48m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₹7.3m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Marshall Machines (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.