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Earnings Miss: Kalpataru Projects International Limited Missed EPS By 17% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Kalpataru Projects International Limited (NSE:KPIL) released its full-year result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.2% to ₹1,164 in the past week. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of ₹197b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 17% to hit ₹31.37 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Kalpataru Projects International
After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Kalpataru Projects International are now predicting revenues of ₹212.8b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a solid 8.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 58% to ₹49.62. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹241.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹54.42 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that sentiment has declined measurably after results came out, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to EPS estimates to boot.
What's most unexpected is that the consensus price target rose 6.3% to ₹1,084, strongly implying the downgrade to forecasts is not expected to be more than a temporary blip. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Kalpataru Projects International, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹1,405 and the most bearish at ₹774 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Kalpataru Projects International's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 8.1% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 10% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Kalpataru Projects International.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Kalpataru Projects International. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Kalpataru Projects International going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kalpataru Projects International (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kalpataru Projects International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KPIL
Kalpataru Projects International
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) services for power transmission and distribution, buildings and factories, water, railways, oil and gas and urban infrastructure sectors in India and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.