Stock Analysis

Does KEC International (NSE:KEC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:KEC
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that KEC International Limited (NSE:KEC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for KEC International

What Is KEC International's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KEC International had ₹26.8b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹2.83b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹24.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KEC Debt to Equity History December 9th 2020

How Healthy Is KEC International's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KEC International had liabilities of ₹97.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.74b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.83b and ₹93.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹4.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, KEC International has a market capitalization of ₹94.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

KEC International has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.4 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Sadly, KEC International's EBIT actually dropped 2.7% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KEC International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, KEC International recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

KEC International's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think KEC International is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - KEC International has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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