Kabra Extrusiontechnik Limited (NSE:KABRAEXTRU) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Kabra Extrusiontechnik Limited (NSE:KABRAEXTRU) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Kabra Extrusiontechnik may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.5x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Kabra Extrusiontechnik over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Kabra Extrusiontechnik
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kabra Extrusiontechnik, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Kabra Extrusiontechnik?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kabra Extrusiontechnik would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 103% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kabra Extrusiontechnik is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Kabra Extrusiontechnik have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Kabra Extrusiontechnik currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kabra Extrusiontechnik.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KABRAEXTRU
Kabra Extrusiontechnik
Provides plastic extrusion machinery for manufacturing pipes and films in India.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.