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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Giriraj Civil Developers Limited's (NSE:GIRIRAJ) 25% Share Price Plunge
The Giriraj Civil Developers Limited (NSE:GIRIRAJ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 15% in the last year.
Following the heavy fall in price, Giriraj Civil Developers may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 22x and even P/E's higher than 47x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Giriraj Civil Developers has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Giriraj Civil Developers
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Giriraj Civil Developers will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Growth For Giriraj Civil Developers?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Giriraj Civil Developers' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Giriraj Civil Developers is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Giriraj Civil Developers have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Giriraj Civil Developers maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Giriraj Civil Developers that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Giriraj Civil Developers' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GIRIRAJ
Giriraj Civil Developers
Engages in the civil construction business in India.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.