Stock Analysis

Is Generic Engineering Construction and Projects (NSE:GENCON) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:GENCON
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Generic Engineering Construction and Projects Limited (NSE:GENCON) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Generic Engineering Construction and Projects

What Is Generic Engineering Construction and Projects's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Generic Engineering Construction and Projects had ₹687.3m of debt, an increase on ₹526.7m, over one year. However, it also had ₹108.4m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹578.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GENCON Debt to Equity History February 16th 2024

How Strong Is Generic Engineering Construction and Projects' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Generic Engineering Construction and Projects had liabilities of ₹1.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹33.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹108.4m in cash and ₹963.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹121.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Generic Engineering Construction and Projects has a market capitalization of ₹2.77b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Generic Engineering Construction and Projects's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.7 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We saw Generic Engineering Construction and Projects grow its EBIT by 6.9% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Generic Engineering Construction and Projects's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Generic Engineering Construction and Projects saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Generic Engineering Construction and Projects's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't too shabby at all. We think that Generic Engineering Construction and Projects's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Generic Engineering Construction and Projects you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.