Stock Analysis

Does Force Motors Limited (NSE:FORCEMOT) Have A Place In Your Dividend Stock Portfolio?

NSEI:FORCEMOT
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Today we'll take a closer look at Force Motors Limited (NSE:FORCEMOT) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

A 0.8% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests Force Motors has some staying power. Some simple analysis can offer a lot of insights when buying a company for its dividend, and we'll go through this below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
NSEI:FORCEMOT Historic Dividend December 25th 2020

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Although it reported a loss over the past 12 months, Force Motors currently pays a dividend. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

Unfortunately, while Force Motors pays a dividend, it also reported negative free cash flow last year. While there may be a good reason for this, it's not ideal from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Force Motors' financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Force Motors' dividend payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was ₹3.0 in 2010, compared to ₹10.0 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 13% per year over this time. Force Motors' dividend payments have fluctuated, so it hasn't grown 13% every year, but the CAGR is a useful rule of thumb for approximating the historical growth.

Force Motors has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, but it might be worth considering if the business has turned a corner.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share (EPS) are growing - it's not worth taking the risk on a dividend getting cut, unless you might be rewarded with larger dividends in future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Force Motors' EPS have declined at around 42% a year. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Force Motors' earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Force Motors' dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. We're a bit uncomfortable with Force Motors paying a dividend while loss-making, especially since the dividend was also not well covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share are down, and Force Motors' dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Using these criteria, Force Motors looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Force Motors (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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