Stock Analysis

Is Cummins India (NSE:CUMMINSIND) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:CUMMINSIND
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Cummins India Limited (NSE:CUMMINSIND) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Cummins India

What Is Cummins India's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cummins India had ₹2.50b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has ₹26.6b in cash, leading to a ₹24.1b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CUMMINSIND Debt to Equity History December 16th 2023

A Look At Cummins India's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cummins India had liabilities of ₹18.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹3.38b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹26.6b and ₹14.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has ₹19.1b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Cummins India could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Cummins India boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Cummins India grew its EBIT by 48% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cummins India can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Cummins India has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Cummins India produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Cummins India has net cash of ₹24.1b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 48% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Cummins India's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Cummins India .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.