Stock Analysis

Confidence Petroleum India Limited's (NSE:CONFIPET) stock price dropped 17% last week; private companies would not be happy

NSEI:CONFIPET
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Significant control over Confidence Petroleum India by private companies implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 6 investors have a majority stake in the company with 52% ownership
  • Insiders own 15% of Confidence Petroleum India

Every investor in Confidence Petroleum India Limited (NSE:CONFIPET) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are private companies with 42% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And following last week's 17% decline in share price, private companies suffered the most losses.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Confidence Petroleum India, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Confidence Petroleum India

ownership-breakdown
NSEI:CONFIPET Ownership Breakdown June 5th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Confidence Petroleum India?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Less than 5% of Confidence Petroleum India is held by institutional investors. This suggests that some funds have the company in their sights, but many have not yet bought shares in it. If the business gets stronger from here, we could see a situation where more institutions are keen to buy. We sometimes see a rising share price when a few big institutions want to buy a certain stock at the same time. The history of earnings and revenue, which you can see below, could be helpful in considering if more institutional investors will want the stock. Of course, there are plenty of other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:CONFIPET Earnings and Revenue Growth June 5th 2024

Confidence Petroleum India is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Gas Point Petroleum India Ltd., with ownership of 22%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 8.7% and 7.3% of the stock. Nitin Khara, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chairman of the Board.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 6 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. We're not picking up on any analyst coverage of the stock at the moment, so the company is unlikely to be widely held.

Insider Ownership Of Confidence Petroleum India

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in Confidence Petroleum India Limited. It has a market capitalization of just ₹23b, and insiders have ₹3.5b worth of shares in their own names. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

With a 32% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Confidence Petroleum India. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 42%, of the Confidence Petroleum India stock. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 8.7% of Confidence Petroleum India. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks for example - Confidence Petroleum India has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course this may not be the best stock to buy. Therefore, you may wish to see our free collection of interesting prospects boasting favorable financials.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.