Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Chavda Infra Limited (NSE:CHAVDA) Even After 27% Share Price Boost

NSEI:CHAVDA
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Chavda Infra Limited (NSE:CHAVDA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Although its price has surged higher, Chavda Infra's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Chavda Infra certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Chavda Infra

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:CHAVDA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Chavda Infra, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Chavda Infra's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chavda Infra would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 209% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Chavda Infra is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Chavda Infra's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Chavda Infra revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Chavda Infra (including 3 which are a bit unpleasant).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.