Stock Analysis

Bhagyanagar India (NSE:BHAGYANGR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:BHAGYANGR
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Bhagyanagar India Limited (NSE:BHAGYANGR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Bhagyanagar India

How Much Debt Does Bhagyanagar India Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bhagyanagar India had debt of ₹614.3m at the end of March 2020, a reduction from ₹957.4m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹38.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹576.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BHAGYANGR Debt to Equity History August 17th 2020

How Strong Is Bhagyanagar India's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Bhagyanagar India had liabilities of ₹591.4m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹213.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹38.3m in cash and ₹485.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹280.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Bhagyanagar India has a market capitalization of ₹532.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Bhagyanagar India's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.95 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even worse, Bhagyanagar India saw its EBIT tank 46% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bhagyanagar India will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Bhagyanagar India recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

To be frank both Bhagyanagar India's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Bhagyanagar India has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Bhagyanagar India (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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