Titagarh Rail Systems Limited

BSE:532966 Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹161.9b

Titagarh Rail Systems Valuation

Is 532966 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 532966 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 532966 (₹1227.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹1244.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 532966 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 532966?

Key metric: As 532966 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 532966. This is calculated by dividing 532966's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 532966's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.4x
Earnings₹3.04b
Market Cap₹161.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 532966's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 532966 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.8x
ACE Action Construction Equipment
41.9x13.6%₹153.8b
CRAFTSMAN Craftsman Automation
47.6x33.4%₹119.1b
500033 Force Motors
19.2xn/a₹92.1b
531112 Balu Forge Industries
58.3x24.7%₹80.2b
532966 Titagarh Rail Systems
54.4x28.1%₹161.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 532966 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the peer average (41.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 532966's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
532966 54.4xIndustry Avg. 38.5xNo. of Companies24PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 532966 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the Indian Machinery industry average (38.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 532966's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

532966 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.4x
Fair PE Ratio49.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 532966 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 532966 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹1,227.70
₹1,630.50
+32.8%
18.1%₹1,988.00₹1,238.00n/a6
Nov ’25₹1,231.10
₹1,630.50
+32.4%
18.1%₹1,988.00₹1,238.00n/a6
Oct ’25₹1,188.75
₹1,798.20
+51.3%
12.5%₹1,988.00₹1,377.00n/a5
Sep ’25₹1,424.60
₹1,798.20
+26.2%
12.5%₹1,988.00₹1,377.00n/a5
Aug ’25₹1,571.65
₹1,798.20
+14.4%
12.5%₹1,988.00₹1,377.00n/a5
Jul ’25₹1,826.10
₹1,438.40
-21.2%
10.6%₹1,669.00₹1,200.00n/a5
Jun ’25₹1,415.50
₹1,402.40
-0.9%
7.8%₹1,489.00₹1,200.00n/a5
May ’25₹1,056.00
₹1,236.25
+17.1%
3.5%₹1,309.00₹1,200.00n/a4
Apr ’25₹937.05
₹1,244.00
+32.8%
3.4%₹1,309.00₹1,200.00n/a4
Mar ’25₹934.65
₹1,244.00
+33.1%
3.4%₹1,309.00₹1,200.00n/a4
Feb ’25₹1,088.05
₹1,109.25
+1.9%
11.0%₹1,252.00₹949.00n/a4
Jan ’25₹1,040.85
₹999.33
-4.0%
3.7%₹1,036.00₹949.00n/a3
Dec ’24₹979.00
₹992.00
+1.3%
3.5%₹1,036.00₹949.00n/a4
Nov ’24₹761.50
₹992.00
+30.3%
3.5%₹1,036.00₹949.00₹1,231.104
Oct ’24₹779.35
₹822.75
+5.6%
6.1%₹900.00₹776.00₹1,188.754
Sep ’24₹813.90
₹785.25
-3.5%
3.8%₹833.00₹750.00₹1,424.604
Aug ’24₹662.10
₹785.25
+18.6%
3.8%₹833.00₹750.00₹1,571.654
Jul ’24₹504.55
₹531.00
+5.2%
22.1%₹694.00₹422.00₹1,826.103
Jun ’24₹354.90
₹449.50
+26.7%
6.1%₹477.00₹422.00₹1,415.502
May ’24₹332.45
₹317.50
-4.5%
9.0%₹346.00₹289.00₹1,056.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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