Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That TVS Srichakra (NSE:TVSSRICHAK) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:TVSSRICHAK
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that TVS Srichakra Limited (NSE:TVSSRICHAK) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for TVS Srichakra

How Much Debt Does TVS Srichakra Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that TVS Srichakra had debt of ₹2.21b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹3.41b over a year. However, it does have ₹636.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.57b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TVSSRICHAK Debt to Equity History February 16th 2021

How Strong Is TVS Srichakra's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TVS Srichakra had liabilities of ₹4.72b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.80b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹636.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹2.38b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹4.51b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since TVS Srichakra has a market capitalization of ₹15.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.90 and interest cover of 2.5 times, it seems to us that TVS Srichakra is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, TVS Srichakra's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 48% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TVS Srichakra will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, TVS Srichakra recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

TVS Srichakra's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. We think that TVS Srichakra's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for TVS Srichakra (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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