Stock Analysis

Does Sundaram-Clayton (NSE:SUNCLAYLTD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:TVSHLTD
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Sundaram-Clayton Limited (NSE:SUNCLAYLTD) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Sundaram-Clayton

How Much Debt Does Sundaram-Clayton Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Sundaram-Clayton had ₹125.6b of debt, an increase on ₹120.2b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹16.1b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹109.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SUNCLAYLTD Debt to Equity History July 14th 2021

How Healthy Is Sundaram-Clayton's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sundaram-Clayton had liabilities of ₹114.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹73.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹16.1b and ₹74.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹96.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹74.5b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Sundaram-Clayton's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Sundaram-Clayton's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sundaram-Clayton will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sundaram-Clayton saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Sundaram-Clayton's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Sundaram-Clayton has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sundaram-Clayton you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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