Stock Analysis

Does Shivam Autotech (NSE:SHIVAMAUTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:SHIVAMAUTO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shivam Autotech Limited (NSE:SHIVAMAUTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shivam Autotech

How Much Debt Does Shivam Autotech Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shivam Autotech had ₹4.02b of debt, up from ₹3.67b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹105.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.91b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SHIVAMAUTO Debt to Equity History December 8th 2023

How Healthy Is Shivam Autotech's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shivam Autotech had liabilities of ₹2.81b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.35b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹105.7m in cash and ₹900.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹3.87b, we think shareholders really should watch Shivam Autotech's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shivam Autotech shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.087 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Shivam Autotech's EBIT was down 90% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shivam Autotech will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shivam Autotech actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, Shivam Autotech's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Shivam Autotech's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shivam Autotech (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shivam Autotech is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.