Is There Now An Opportunity In Munjal Auto Industries Limited (NSE:MUNJALAU)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 16, 2018
NSEI:MUNJALAU

Munjal Auto Industries Limited (NSEI:MUNJALAU), a auto components company based in India, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NSEI in the over the last few months, increasing to ₹94.6 at one point, and dropping to the lows of ₹73.3. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Munjal Auto Industries's current trading price of ₹77.4 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Munjal Auto Industries’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. See our latest analysis for Munjal Auto Industries

What's the opportunity in Munjal Auto Industries?

The stock is currently trading at IN₨77.40 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 38% compared to my intrinsic value of ₹55.92. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Another thing to keep in mind is that Munjal Auto Industries’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

Can we expect growth from Munjal Auto Industries?

NSEI:MUNJALAU Future Profit Feb 16th 18
NSEI:MUNJALAU Future Profit Feb 16th 18
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Munjal Auto Industries’s revenue growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming year, indicating a solid future ahead. Unless expenses grow at the same level, or higher, this top-line growth should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? MUNJALAU’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe MUNJALAU should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MUNJALAU for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MUNJALAU, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Munjal Auto Industries. You can find everything you need to know about Munjal Auto Industries in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Munjal Auto Industries, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
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