Stock Analysis

Earnings Beat: Balkrishna Industries Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

NSEI:BALKRISIND
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Balkrishna Industries Limited (NSE:BALKRISIND) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Balkrishna Industries beat earnings, with revenues hitting ₹94b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 13%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

See our latest analysis for Balkrishna Industries

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NSEI:BALKRISIND Earnings and Revenue Growth May 22nd 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Balkrishna Industries from 14 analysts is for revenues of ₹107.1b in 2025. If met, it would imply a solid 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 20% to ₹91.04. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹103.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹85.02 in 2025. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 11% to ₹2,719per share. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Balkrishna Industries at ₹3,501 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹2,076. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 14% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 17% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 9.8% per year. So it's pretty clear that Balkrishna Industries is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Balkrishna Industries following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Balkrishna Industries going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Balkrishna Industries you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.