Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At Alicon Castalloy (NSE:ALICON) Aren't Ideal

NSEI:ALICON
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Alicon Castalloy (NSE:ALICON), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Alicon Castalloy, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = ₹1.0b ÷ (₹11b - ₹4.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Alicon Castalloy has an ROCE of 16%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 14% generated by the Auto Components industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Alicon Castalloy

roce
NSEI:ALICON Return on Capital Employed April 13th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Alicon Castalloy's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Alicon Castalloy has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for Alicon Castalloy

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Auto Components market.
  • Current share price is above our estimate of fair value.
Opportunity
  • ALICON's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine ALICON's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.

What Can We Tell From Alicon Castalloy's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Alicon Castalloy's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 27%, but since then they've fallen to 16%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Alicon Castalloy has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 41% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 41% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.

Our Take On Alicon Castalloy's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Alicon Castalloy in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 37% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Alicon Castalloy (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.