David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, The Gold Bond Group Ltd. (TLV:GOLD) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Gold Bond Group
How Much Debt Does Gold Bond Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Gold Bond Group had debt of ₪74.7m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₪92.1m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪68.8m, its net debt is less, at about ₪5.97m.
How Healthy Is Gold Bond Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Gold Bond Group had liabilities of ₪57.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪160.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪68.8m as well as receivables valued at ₪59.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪89.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Gold Bond Group has a market capitalization of ₪685.1m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Gold Bond Group has a very light debt load indeed.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Gold Bond Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.18. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Gold Bond Group has boosted its EBIT by 65%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Gold Bond Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Gold Bond Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Gold Bond Group's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. We would also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Gold Bond Group commonly do use debt without problems. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Gold Bond Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Gold Bond Group (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:GOLD
Gold Bond Group
Engages in the storage, conveyance, and logistical solutions for cargoes and containers.
Excellent balance sheet very low.