Stock Analysis

Is Fridenson Logistic Services (TLV:FRDN) Using Too Much Debt?

TASE:FRDN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Fridenson Logistic Services Ltd (TLV:FRDN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Fridenson Logistic Services

What Is Fridenson Logistic Services's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Fridenson Logistic Services had debt of ₪139.4m, up from ₪124.9m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪26.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₪113.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:FRDN Debt to Equity History January 7th 2021

How Healthy Is Fridenson Logistic Services' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fridenson Logistic Services had liabilities of ₪153.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪197.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪26.5m as well as receivables valued at ₪109.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪215.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪82.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Fridenson Logistic Services would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Fridenson Logistic Services's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.5, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Looking on the bright side, Fridenson Logistic Services boosted its EBIT by a silky 32% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Fridenson Logistic Services's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Fridenson Logistic Services created free cash flow amounting to 4.6% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Fridenson Logistic Services's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Fridenson Logistic Services to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Fridenson Logistic Services is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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