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Investors Give Orad Ltd (TLV:ORAD) Shares A 25% Hiding
Orad Ltd (TLV:ORAD) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, Orad may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.4x, since almost half of all companies in Israel have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Orad has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Orad
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Orad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Orad's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 2.6% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Orad's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Orad have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Orad currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Orad (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than Orad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ORAD
Orad
Provides security and perimeter protection, safety and fire detection, infrastructures, electromechanical systems, automation, communications and control, and solar energy systems in Israel and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.