Stock Analysis

Top Ramdor Systems & Computers Co. (1990) Ltd's (TLV:TOPS) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Top Ramdor Systems & Computers Co. (1990) Ltd (TLV:TOPS) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.4% over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Israel have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 14.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990)

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TASE:TOPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's bottom line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 30% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990)'s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990)'s shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Top Ramdor Systems & Computers (1990). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TASE:TOPG

Top Group Software

Develops, markets, and sells software products and services in Israel and internationally.

Outstanding track record average dividend payer.

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