Stock Analysis

We Think Malam - Team (TLV:MLTM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TASE:MLTM
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Malam - Team Ltd (TLV:MLTM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Malam - Team Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Malam - Team had debt of ₪701.1m, up from ₪543.3m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪227.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₪473.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:MLTM Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023

How Strong Is Malam - Team's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Malam - Team had liabilities of ₪982.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪605.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪227.3m as well as receivables valued at ₪878.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪481.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Malam - Team has a market capitalization of ₪945.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Malam - Team's debt is 2.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.1 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. If Malam - Team can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Malam - Team will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Malam - Team produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Malam - Team is not finding it easy, given its interest cover, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we thought its EBIT growth rate was a positive. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Malam - Team's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Malam - Team (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.