The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Dorsel (B.A.Z.) Ltd (TLV:DRSL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Dorsel (B.A.Z.)
How Much Debt Does Dorsel (B.A.Z.) Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Dorsel (B.A.Z.) had ₪342.7m of debt, up from ₪292.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪106.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪236.6m.
How Healthy Is Dorsel (B.A.Z.)'s Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Dorsel (B.A.Z.) had liabilities of ₪66.3m due within a year, and liabilities of ₪378.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪106.1m and ₪5.46m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₪333.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₪284.2m, we think shareholders really should watch Dorsel (B.A.Z.)'s debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Dorsel (B.A.Z.) has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Dorsel (B.A.Z.)'s EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Dorsel (B.A.Z.)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Dorsel (B.A.Z.) recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Dorsel (B.A.Z.)'s net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Dorsel (B.A.Z.) stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Dorsel (B.A.Z.) (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TASE:DRSH
Dorsel Holdings
Engages in the construction, development, and rental of real estate properties in Israel and internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.