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Why Hod Assaf Industries' (TLV:HOD) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
Shareholders appeared to be happy with Hod Assaf Industries Ltd.'s (TLV:HOD) solid earnings report last week. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Hod Assaf Industries
A Closer Look At Hod Assaf Industries' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Hod Assaf Industries recorded an accrual ratio of -0.16. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₪200m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of ₪51.1m. Hod Assaf Industries shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hod Assaf Industries.
Our Take On Hod Assaf Industries' Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Hod Assaf Industries has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Hod Assaf Industries' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 37% in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Hod Assaf Industries has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hod Assaf Industries' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hod Assaf Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:HOD
Hod Assaf Industries
Engages in the production, processing, and sale of steel products in Israel and Romania.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.