Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Electra Power (2019) Ltd (TLV:ELCP) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Electra Power (2019)'s Debt?
As you can see below, Electra Power (2019) had ₪704.3m of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had ₪24.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪680.0m.
How Healthy Is Electra Power (2019)'s Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Electra Power (2019) had liabilities of ₪441.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪615.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪24.2m as well as receivables valued at ₪292.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪739.4m.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₪501.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
View our latest analysis for Electra Power (2019)
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.39 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.9 hit our confidence in Electra Power (2019) like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Electra Power (2019) is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₪3.5m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Electra Power (2019) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Electra Power (2019) burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Electra Power (2019)'s interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Electra Power (2019) has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Electra Power (2019) (at least 3 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Electra Power (2019) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ELCP
Electra Power (2019)
Electra Power (2019) Ltd markets, sells, and distributes liquefied petroleum gas, natural gas, electricity, and thermal energy in Israel.
Slight with poor track record.
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