Stock Analysis

Michlol Finance Ltd (TLV:MCLL) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

TASE:MCLL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x Michlol Finance Ltd (TLV:MCLL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Israel have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 20x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

The earnings growth achieved at Michlol Finance over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Michlol Finance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TASE:MCLL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Michlol Finance will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Michlol Finance would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 225% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Michlol Finance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Michlol Finance's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Michlol Finance currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Michlol Finance (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Michlol Finance. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.