Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Dan Hotels Ltd (TLV:DANH) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Dan Hotels
How Much Debt Does Dan Hotels Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Dan Hotels had ₪856.3m of debt in December 2021, down from ₪912.4m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪145.9m, its net debt is less, at about ₪710.4m.
A Look At Dan Hotels' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Dan Hotels had liabilities of ₪729.1m due within a year, and liabilities of ₪749.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪145.9m as well as receivables valued at ₪256.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪1.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Dan Hotels has a market capitalization of ₪2.65b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Dan Hotels's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Dan Hotels reported revenue of ₪971m, which is a gain of 30%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Dan Hotels managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost ₪18m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Surprisingly, we note that it actually reported positive free cash flow of ₪44m and a profit of ₪18m. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Dan Hotels is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:DANH
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.
