Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Netanel Group Ltd (TLV:NTGR) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Netanel Group
How Much Debt Does Netanel Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Netanel Group had debt of ₪675.3m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from ₪706.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₪34.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪641.2m.
How Strong Is Netanel Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Netanel Group had liabilities of ₪520.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪225.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₪34.1m in cash and ₪72.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪638.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪324.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Netanel Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 17.6 hit our confidence in Netanel Group like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, Netanel Group boosted its EBIT by a silky 59% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Netanel Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Netanel Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Netanel Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Netanel Group has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Netanel Group (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TASE:NTGR
Netanel Group
Engages in the construction business in Israel and the United States.
Fair value second-rate dividend payer.