Stock Analysis

Investors Can Find Comfort In Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' (TLV:MNIN) Earnings Quality

TASE:MNIN
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The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries Ltd. (TLV:MNIN), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

View our latest analysis for Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries

earnings-and-revenue-history
TASE:MNIN Earnings and Revenue History March 28th 2024

Zooming In On Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to December 2023, Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries had an accrual ratio of -0.14. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₪130m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₪37.4m. Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries.

Our Take On Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' Profit Performance

Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 48% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mendelson Infrastructures & Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.