Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Lesico Ltd. (TLV:LSCO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Lesico
How Much Debt Does Lesico Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Lesico had ₪82.4m of debt, an increase on ₪17.8m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has ₪136.6m in cash, leading to a ₪54.2m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Lesico's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Lesico had liabilities of ₪258.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪79.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪136.6m as well as receivables valued at ₪254.2m due within 12 months. So it actually has ₪52.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
It's good to see that Lesico has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Lesico has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Importantly, Lesico's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 51% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lesico will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Lesico may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, Lesico actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Lesico has ₪54.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Lesico does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Lesico has 6 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TASE:LSCO
Lesico
Engages in the construction of various infrastructure projects in Israel and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.