David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Raval ACS Ltd. (TLV:RVL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Raval ACS
What Is Raval ACS's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Raval ACS had €91.7m of debt at September 2020, down from €105.4m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €41.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €50.4m.
How Healthy Is Raval ACS' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Raval ACS had liabilities of €99.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €58.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €41.3m as well as receivables valued at €50.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €66.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Raval ACS is worth €182.4m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Raval ACS has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.4. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Raval ACS grew its EBIT at 19% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Raval ACS will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Raval ACS reported free cash flow worth 20% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
On our analysis Raval ACS's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Raval ACS is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Raval ACS that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TASE:RVL
Raval ACS
Develops, produces, and sells automotive fuel tank venting systems.
Excellent balance sheet moderate.