PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk

IDX:PGAS Stock Report

Market Cap: Rp37.6t

Perusahaan Gas Negara Valuation

Is PGAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PGAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PGAS (IDR1550) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR3322.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PGAS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PGAS?

Key metric: As PGAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PGAS. This is calculated by dividing PGAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PGAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsUS$342.98m
Market CapUS$2.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PGAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PGAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
PGEO Pertamina Geothermal Energy
15.2x3.8%Rp40.5t
CGAS Citra Nusantara Gemilang
15.7xn/aRp170.1b
POWR Cikarang Listrindo
9.3x8.2%Rp10.9t
CEGR3 Companhia Distribuidora de Gás do Rio de Janeiro - CEG
27.2xn/aR$13.9b
PGAS Perusahaan Gas Negara
6.8x-3.5%Rp37.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PGAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Gas Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PGAS 6.8xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the Asian Gas Utilities industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PGAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PGAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PGAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp1,550.00
Rp1,600.29
+3.2%
9.0%Rp1,910.89Rp1,425.07n/a11
Dec ’25Rp1,520.00
Rp1,571.03
+3.4%
9.0%Rp1,872.54Rp1,396.47n/a11
Nov ’25Rp1,530.00
Rp1,545.86
+1.0%
9.9%Rp1,851.89Rp1,255.52n/a12
Oct ’25Rp1,450.00
Rp1,506.71
+3.9%
11.8%Rp1,867.63Rp1,214.72n/a13
Sep ’25Rp1,540.00
Rp1,541.95
+0.1%
11.6%Rp1,900.97Rp1,236.40n/a13
Aug ’25Rp1,590.00
Rp1,592.33
+0.1%
10.0%Rp1,834.56Rp1,331.27n/a13
Jul ’25Rp1,545.00
Rp1,589.07
+2.9%
10.0%Rp1,852.52Rp1,344.31n/a14
Jun ’25Rp1,580.00
Rp1,491.89
-5.6%
10.5%Rp1,807.10Rp1,247.38n/a14
May ’25Rp1,470.00
Rp1,429.74
-2.7%
18.3%Rp1,902.42Rp813.00n/a15
Apr ’25Rp1,355.00
Rp1,345.73
-0.7%
19.8%Rp1,848.02Rp789.75n/a15
Mar ’25Rp1,105.00
Rp1,302.87
+17.9%
23.1%Rp1,843.40Rp781.10n/a15
Feb ’25Rp1,160.00
Rp1,327.57
+14.4%
21.7%Rp1,862.04Rp946.80n/a15
Jan ’25Rp1,130.00
Rp1,428.59
+26.4%
26.4%Rp2,309.40Rp923.76n/a14
Dec ’24Rp1,120.00
Rp1,527.66
+36.4%
25.5%Rp2,333.25Rp933.30Rp1,520.0014
Nov ’24Rp1,220.00
Rp1,651.04
+35.3%
20.5%Rp2,378.10Rp1,109.78Rp1,530.0014
Oct ’24Rp1,375.00
Rp1,661.46
+20.8%
16.4%Rp2,304.60Rp1,167.66Rp1,450.0014
Sep ’24Rp1,355.00
Rp1,678.39
+23.9%
17.8%Rp2,287.05Rp1,158.77Rp1,540.0013
Aug ’24Rp1,385.00
Rp1,684.12
+21.6%
18.3%Rp2,252.10Rp1,141.06Rp1,590.0012
Jul ’24Rp1,305.00
Rp1,721.78
+31.9%
18.3%Rp2,250.30Rp1,050.14Rp1,545.0013
Jun ’24Rp1,430.00
Rp1,744.70
+22.0%
17.9%Rp2,249.10Rp1,049.58Rp1,580.0014
May ’24Rp1,430.00
Rp1,731.76
+21.1%
16.3%Rp2,141.24Rp1,026.62Rp1,470.0013
Apr ’24Rp1,380.00
Rp1,875.95
+35.9%
16.8%Rp2,202.06Rp1,048.60Rp1,355.0013
Mar ’24Rp1,550.00
Rp2,005.32
+29.4%
11.7%Rp2,386.56Rp1,520.10Rp1,105.0013
Feb ’24Rp1,570.00
Rp2,022.35
+28.8%
11.9%Rp2,362.07Rp1,504.50Rp1,160.0012
Jan ’24Rp1,760.00
Rp2,122.78
+20.6%
11.1%Rp2,446.06Rp1,558.00Rp1,130.0012
Dec ’23Rp1,900.00
Rp2,126.90
+11.9%
15.7%Rp2,579.39Rp1,368.34Rp1,120.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:05
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk is covered by 37 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Helmy KristantoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Swati ChopraBofA Global Research
Bob SetiadiCGS International