Modernland Realty Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of MDLN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

MDLN (IDR50) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (IDR31.4)

Is MDLN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDLN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDLN (IDR50) is trading above our estimate of fair value (IDR31.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDLN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDLN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for MDLN. This is calculated by dividing MDLN's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is MDLN's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	Rp626.65b

MDLN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	5.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	24.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MDLN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MDLN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11.4x
ELTY Bakrieland Development	0.4x	n/a	Rp478.7b
BKDP Bukit Darmo Property	12x	n/a	Rp375.7b
GWSA Greenwood Sejahtera	14.8x	n/a	Rp1.1t
SAGE Saptausaha Gemilangindah	18.3x	n/a	Rp401.7b
MDLN Modernland Realty	0.5x	n/a	Rp626.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MDLN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDLN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Real Estate Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MDLN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the ID Real Estate industry average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDLN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDLN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.5x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MDLN's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.