PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

IDX:TPIA Stock Report

Market Cap: Rp609.9t

Chandra Asri Pacific Valuation

Is TPIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPIA (IDR7050) is trading above our estimate of fair value (IDR246.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPIA?

Key metric: As TPIA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TPIA. This is calculated by dividing TPIA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TPIA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio22.2x
SalesUS$1.73b
Market CapUS$38.38b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TPIA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TPIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
BRPT Barito Pacific
2.1x11.5%Rp75.9t
IMPC Impack Pratama Industri
5.9x8.1%Rp18.9t
AMMN Amman Mineral Internasional
12.2x-11.1%Rp654.5t
DOW Dow
0.7x3.7%US$31.1b
TPIA Chandra Asri Pacific
22.2x9.9%Rp609.9t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TPIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (22.2x) compared to the peer average (5.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TPIA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
TPIA 22.2xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies5PS00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TPIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (22.2x) compared to the ID Chemicals industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPIA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPIA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio22.2x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TPIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (22.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp7,050.00
Rp1,763.33
-75.0%
30.4%Rp2,450.00Rp1,140.00n/a3
Nov ’25Rp8,550.00
Rp1,763.33
-79.4%
30.4%Rp2,450.00Rp1,140.00n/a3
Oct ’25Rp8,875.00
Rp1,763.33
-80.1%
30.4%Rp2,450.00Rp1,140.00n/a3
Sep ’25Rp9,975.00
Rp1,763.33
-82.3%
30.4%Rp2,450.00Rp1,140.00n/a3
Aug ’25Rp9,825.00
Rp1,840.00
-81.3%
33.2%Rp2,450.00Rp1,230.00n/a2
Jul ’25Rp9,100.00
Rp1,840.00
-79.8%
33.2%Rp2,450.00Rp1,230.00n/a2
Jun ’25Rp9,175.00
Rp1,840.00
-79.9%
33.2%Rp2,450.00Rp1,230.00n/a2
May ’25Rp7,575.00
Rp1,840.00
-75.7%
33.2%Rp2,450.00Rp1,230.00n/a2
Apr ’25Rp6,100.00
Rp1,526.67
-75.0%
13.8%Rp1,700.00Rp1,230.00n/a3
Mar ’25Rp4,670.00
Rp1,526.67
-67.3%
13.8%Rp1,700.00Rp1,230.00n/a3
Feb ’25Rp5,450.00
Rp1,526.67
-72.0%
13.8%Rp1,700.00Rp1,230.00n/a3
Jan ’25Rp5,250.00
Rp1,526.67
-70.9%
13.8%Rp1,700.00Rp1,230.00n/a3
Dec ’24Rp2,910.00
Rp1,526.67
-47.5%
13.8%Rp1,700.00Rp1,230.00Rp6,950.003
Nov ’24Rp2,950.00
Rp1,675.00
-43.2%
1.5%Rp1,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp8,550.002
Oct ’24Rp2,530.00
Rp1,675.00
-33.8%
1.5%Rp1,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp8,875.002
Sep ’24Rp2,150.00
Rp2,175.00
+1.2%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp9,975.002
Aug ’24Rp2,090.00
Rp2,175.00
+4.1%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp9,825.002
Jul ’24Rp2,100.00
Rp2,175.00
+3.6%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp9,100.002
Jun ’24Rp2,140.00
Rp2,175.00
+1.6%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp9,175.002
May ’24Rp2,360.00
Rp2,175.00
-7.8%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp7,575.002
Apr ’24Rp2,340.00
Rp2,175.00
-7.1%
24.1%Rp2,700.00Rp1,650.00Rp6,100.002
Mar ’24Rp2,290.00
Rp2,450.00
+7.0%
23.6%Rp3,000.00Rp1,650.00Rp4,670.003
Feb ’24Rp2,280.00
Rp2,450.00
+7.5%
23.6%Rp3,000.00Rp1,650.00Rp5,450.003
Jan ’24Rp2,570.00
Rp2,450.00
-4.7%
23.6%Rp3,000.00Rp1,650.00Rp5,250.003
Dec ’23Rp2,380.00
Rp2,450.00
+2.9%
23.6%Rp3,000.00Rp1,650.00Rp2,910.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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