Major Estimate Revision • Jun 19
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast increased from Rp36.8b to Rp37.7b. EPS estimate fell from Rp99.98 to Rp88.75 per share. Net income forecast to grow 240% next year vs 10% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp2,745 to Rp2,671. Share price fell 5.9% to Rp1,440 over the past week. Announcement • May 15
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on June 11, 2026 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 28.3300 per share payable on June 11, 2026, ex-date on May 21, 2026 and record date on May 22, 2026. Reported Earnings • May 05
First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations First quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp12.00 (up from Rp6.31 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: Rp8.29t (up 8.3% from 1Q 2025). Net income: Rp80.3b (up 89% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 1.0% (up from 0.6% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 27%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 49 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Apr 03
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2026 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2026. Reported Earnings • Apr 01
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: Rp28.00 (down from Rp107 in FY 2024). Revenue: Rp35t (down 2.6% from FY 2024). Net income: Rp190.8b (down 74% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.5% (down from 2.0% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.2% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 44 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Major Estimate Revision • Jan 20
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 23% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from Rp81.23 to Rp62.29 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp35.2b. Net income forecast to grow 487% next year vs 19% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at Rp2,762. Share price was steady at Rp2,640 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 07
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from Rp121 to Rp95.18 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp35.2b. Net income forecast to grow 219% next year vs 24% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at Rp2,634. Share price rose 4.3% to Rp2,880 over the past week. Board Change • Oct 24
No independent directors Following the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. Independent President Commissioner Budi Waseso was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Announcement • May 29
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on June 26, 2025 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 96.2152 per share payable on June 26, 2025, ex-date on June 05, 2025 and record date on June 10, 2025. Announcement • Apr 16
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2025 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2025. Location: jakarta Indonesia Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from Rp38.3b to Rp36.9b. EPS estimate also fell from Rp284 per share to Rp197 per share. Net income forecast to grow 67% next year vs 33% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp4,907 to Rp4,625. Share price was steady at Rp3,600 over the past week. New Risk • Nov 02
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 3.2% Last year net profit margin: 6.4% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.2% net profit margin). Reported Earnings • Nov 02
Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp32.69 (down from Rp126 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: Rp9.88t (down 7.0% from 3Q 2023). Net income: Rp218.2b (down 74% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 2.2% (down from 8.0% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 72%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 27% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 14
Now 23% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.0% to Rp4,140. The fair value is estimated to be Rp5,380, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 9.5% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 40% in the next 2 years. Recent Insider Transactions • Oct 09
Board Member recently bought Rp2.0b worth of stock On the 1st of October, Agung Wiharto bought around 521k shares on-market at roughly Rp3,857 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought Rp13b more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Price Target Changed • Aug 16
Price target decreased by 7.0% to Rp5,025 Down from Rp5,403, the current price target is an average from 16 analysts. New target price is 24% above last closing price of Rp4,050. Stock is down 40% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp261 for next year compared to Rp321 last year. Price Target Changed • Aug 13
Price target decreased by 8.5% to Rp5,107 Down from Rp5,583, the current price target is an average from 15 analysts. New target price is 33% above last closing price of Rp3,840. Stock is down 44% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp264 for next year compared to Rp321 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 08
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from Rp39.6b to Rp38.3b. EPS estimate also fell from Rp344 per share to Rp274 per share. Net income forecast to grow 34% next year vs 27% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp5,583 to Rp5,280. Share price was steady at Rp3,780 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp4.36 (down from Rp45.12 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: Rp8.04t (flat on 2Q 2023). Net income: Rp29.7b (down 90% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.4% (down from 3.8% in 2Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 91%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Basic Materials industry in Asia are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 10
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 28% to Rp4,050. The fair value is estimated to be Rp5,181, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 10% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 35% in the next 2 years. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 29
President Director recently bought Rp1.0b worth of stock On the 28th of June, Donny Arsal bought around 268k shares on-market at roughly Rp3,737 per share. This transaction amounted to 39% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Donny has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of Rp3.1b worth in shares. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 10
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to Rp4,100, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 56% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp5,152 per share. Price Target Changed • May 30
Price target decreased by 9.6% to Rp6,381 Down from Rp7,063, the current price target is an average from 16 analysts. New target price is 73% above last closing price of Rp3,690. Stock is down 36% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp357 for next year compared to Rp321 last year. Recent Insider Transactions • May 29
President Director recently bought Rp1.0b worth of stock On the 22nd of May, Donny Arsal bought around 255k shares on-market at roughly Rp3,931 per share. This transaction increased Donny's direct individual holding by 1x at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Donny has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of Rp2.1b worth in shares. Major Estimate Revision • May 22
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from Rp39.1b to Rp40.2b. EPS estimate fell from Rp423 to Rp376 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 27% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at Rp6,938. Share price fell 3.2% to Rp3,990 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 12
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp69.88 (vs Rp83.18 in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp69.88 (down from Rp83.18 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: Rp8.38t (down 6.3% from 1Q 2023). Net income: Rp471.8b (down 16% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.6% (down from 6.3% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.1% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Declared Dividend • May 11
Dividend of Rp84.73 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of Rp84.73. Ex-date: 16th May 2024 Payment date: 5th June 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.9%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (67% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (41% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Announcement • Mar 30
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 22
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate fell from Rp487 to Rp437 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp40.7b. Net income forecast to grow 28% next year vs 28% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp8,072 to Rp7,595. Share price was steady at Rp5,750 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Mar 10
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: Rp39t (up 6.2% from FY 2022). Net income: Rp2.17t (down 8.2% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.6% (down from 6.5% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.7% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 2.4% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 10% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 04
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: Rp8.10t (up 4.6% from 2Q 2022). Net income: Rp304.6b (down 7.7% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 3.8% (down from 4.3% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 8% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 10% per year. Reported Earnings • Mar 15
Full year 2022 earnings released Full year 2022 results: Revenue: Rp36t (up 4.1% from FY 2021). Net income: Rp2.36t (up 17% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 6.5% (up from 5.8% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Board Change • Nov 16
No independent directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was not an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 11 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner Mochamad Choliq was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Reported Earnings • Nov 02
Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: Rp138 (up from Rp100 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: Rp9.40t (up 3.2% from 3Q 2021). Net income: Rp821.5b (up 38% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 8.7% (up from 6.5% in 3Q 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 5.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 14% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Jun 02
First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations First quarter 2022 results: Revenue: Rp8.14t (flat on 1Q 2021). Net income: Rp498.6b (up 11% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 6.1% (up from 5.6% in 1Q 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.6%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 9.5%, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Board Change • Apr 27
No independent directors Following the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 7 non-independent directors. Independent Commissioner Mochamad Choliq was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 17
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from Rp39.2b to Rp38.1b. EPS estimate also fell from Rp555 per share to Rp495 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 13% growth forecast for Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp11,470 to Rp10,917. Share price fell 4.0% to Rp6,675 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Mar 06
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: EPS: Rp341 (down from Rp471 in FY 2020). Revenue: Rp35t (flat on FY 2020). Net income: Rp2.02t (down 28% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 5.8% (down from 7.9% in FY 2020). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 12%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 14%, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 19% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS Rp100 (vs Rp157 in 3Q 2020) The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: Rp9.12t (down 5.0% from 3Q 2020). Net income: Rp593.6b (down 36% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 6.5% (down from 9.7% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 3% per year. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Mar 04
Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 24%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 11%, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Reported Earnings • Mar 02
Full year 2020 earnings released The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: Rp35t (down 13% from FY 2019). Net income: Rp2.79t (up 17% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 7.9% (up from 5.9% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 23
New 90-day low: Rp10,525 The company is down 12% from its price of Rp11,900 on 25 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is down 4.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp10,293 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 15
New 90-day high: Rp12,250 The company is up 32% from its price of Rp9,300 on 17 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 19% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 35% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp10,906 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 12
New 90-day high: Rp11,325 The company is up 19% from its price of Rp9,500 on 14 August 2020. The Indonesian market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 12% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp8,640 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 11
Market bids up stock over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp10,600, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 23.8x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 20.5x. This compares to an average P/E of 10x in the Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 12%. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Nov 04
Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints Revenue missed analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 47%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 4.1%, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Basic Materials industry in Indonesia. Reported Earnings • Nov 04
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS Rp157 The company reported a decent third quarter result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: Rp9.60t (down 19% from 3Q 2019). Net income: Rp929.3b (up 15% from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 9.7% (up from 6.9% in 3Q 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 22
New 90-day low: Rp9,025 The company is down 5.0% from its price of Rp9,475 on 24 June 2020. The Indonesian market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. However, it outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is down 6.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp7,789 per share.