Cemindo Gemilang Valuation

Is CMNT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMNT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMNT (IDR955) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR2274.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMNT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMNT?

Key metric: As CMNT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CMNT. This is calculated by dividing CMNT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CMNT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.8x
SalesRp9.25t
Market CapRp16.35t

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CMNT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CMNT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
INTP Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa
1.3x3.9%Rp23.1t
SMGR Semen Indonesia (Persero)
0.7x4.0%Rp24.3t
SMCB Solusi Bangun Indonesia
0.5xn/aRp6.7t
SMBR Semen Baturaja (Persero)
1.1xn/aRp2.2t
CMNT Cemindo Gemilang
1.8xn/aRp16.4t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CMNT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CMNT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CMNT 1.8xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies47PS012345+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CMNT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMNT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMNT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CMNT's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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