Capitalinc Investment Valuation

Is MTFN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTFN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTFN (IDR5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR24.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTFN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTFN?

Key metric: As MTFN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MTFN. This is calculated by dividing MTFN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MTFN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.3x
Sales	Rp544.23b
Market Cap	Rp159.21b

MTFN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MTFN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MTFN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.4x
MITI Mitra Investindo	1.9x	n/a	Rp541.7b
SURE Super Energy	10.5x	n/a	Rp3.6t
COAL Black Diamond Resources	0.4x	n/a	Rp206.3b
ENRG Energi Mega Persada	0.9x	n/a	Rp6.5t
MTFN Capitalinc Investment	0.3x	n/a	Rp159.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MTFN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MTFN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Oil and Gas Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
INDY PT. Indika Energy	0.2x	n/a	US$463.79m
DOID Delta Dunia Makmur	0.2x	n/a	US$313.31m
ARII Atlas Resources	0.2x	n/a	US$51.88m
CNKO Exploitasi Energi Indonesia	0.04x	n/a	US$3.95m

No more companies available in this PS range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MTFN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the ID Oil and Gas industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTFN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTFN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.3x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTFN's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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